Happy New Year – and when we say, “Happy,” we really mean it this time! During 2009 and 2010, SALT released trend predictions that coincided with terrifically-dismal economic conditions. They aligned with the realities of a depressed market: brands had to shift and narrow their strategies if they wanted to survive and continue to stand out during lean times. But, with cautious optimism, we see those conditions improving—so we’re entering 2011 with a brighter outlook and new approach to Trends.

This year we’ll be introducing our trend predictions one-at-a-time over the next ten days, and will be writing about them more often throughout the year. And there’s a lot to talk about: we’ll see brands “Get fit,” we’ll find out “Where the .com has gone,” and explore the new world of “Global partnerships.” And of course we’ll look at nearly everything through the new lens of Social—we can tell you right now, you’d better have your brand’s story nailed down tight this year. We’ll investigate flagrant acts of “Brandalism” and how everyone suddenly gets to be “Your brand’s designer.” And we have a lot more in store.

We are anticipating a 2011 rich in opportunity and are expecting a wild ride. So please, check back for the next ten days while we reveal our trends! Wishing everyone the best for 2011 – SALT Branding.

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Santa goes Digital-Mobile-Social

No longer does the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade Santa Claus usher in a holiday season of window displays. Today’s consumers start their holiday shopping research online and closer to Halloween, nearly a month before Black Friday and Cyber Monday. They use digital, mobile, and social media to shop both in stores and online – digital technology has changed the holiday shopping experience. But how are retail and other consumer brands adapting to the digital-mobile-social marketplace for the holidays? And how can brands stand out in the flurry of holiday marketing?

According to Google Think Holiday, 75% of US shoppers research their holiday purchases online and nearly 90% start their shopping online, also using mobile and social media to research and shop. Nielsen reports that the majority of smartphone users, 1/3 of the US population, will use mobile for price comparison shopping. But retail brands haven’t adapted their marketing mixes. Many brands don’t correctly leverage online, email, search, mobile, and social media. Online and social represent a minor portion of most holiday budgets.  Most social budgets only cover basic Facebook and Twitter platforms. Only a third of retailers are using mobile for their holiday marketing.* And many websites aren’t set-up for research or formatted for mobile. Brands need to work harder to stay current if they want to get their share of wallet in this recession.

One way to stand out is to leverage technology to better reach consumers and give them a more seamless shopping experience (Etsy’s Gift Finder through Facebook, Google Chrome’s airplane Wi-Fi sponsorship). Shoppers are managing the impact of the recession by spending less overall, buying discount gifts, and doing more comparison shopping.* So retailers who leverage technology to promote deals and discounts and enable product research across platforms will profit (Amazon’s TextBuyIt service, Price Check app and Remembers app feature, Gilt Groupe’s Gilt on the Go apps).*

Another way is to distinguish your brand amidst the holiday clamor. Rather than buying into the neutral holiday communications – all that non-religious Christmas and generic winter imagery designed to say ‘Happy Holidays’ without offense – why not distinguish yourself by embracing the pure commerciality of the holidays? Forego the traditional holiday references and come right out and say ‘Buy Me This Holiday’ (Barney’s campaign and online interactive holiday catalog). And the distinct personality and communications brands craft for the holidays should extend from their existing equity (Apple’s minimalistic approach, Kate Spade’s campaign and ‘Have you seen this penguin? site promotion).

A third way is to incorporate causes in a meaningful way. The season’s long been associated with charity, but thanks to technology giving has never been easier (The Salvation Army’s mobile and online red kettles). And shoppers are more socially inclined than before – almost 1/2 of Americans have purchased products due to a cause, and are undeterred by the recession.* They want a benefit not just a deal. So recognize the value of cause marketing with today’s increasingly socially conscious and tech savvy consumers (AMEX’ Small Business Saturday benefiting Girls Inc., Gap’s campaign benefiting celebrity-endorsed causes, StarbucksCauses channel on its digital network along with DonorsChoose.org).

But let’s not forget the most important message of all as Santa goes social – happy holidays from our brand to yours!

*Sources: BDO Retail Compass Survey, Cone Cause Evolution Study, eMarketer/the e-tailing group

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Mind the Gap

The recent re-re-branding of the GAP brand raises some interesting questions about the power of crowds vs. the power of the brand itself. Brand-watchers can list several major brand retractions over the years that came as a result of consumer revolt: Tropicana, Sun Chips, NewCoke, Digg, etc. Each of these brands initiated changes with good intentions, and were believed by the brand teams to be competitive leaps forward: the public didn’t buy them, however, and revolted not merely with their wallets, but their voices, too. In this new age of democratic media, those voices have not only greater volume and frequency, but evidently a lot more weight than in the past. The playing field has changed, and brands need to get the new playbook, or peril awaits.

PR disaster risk management is becoming a new discipline to many enterprises once relatively shielded from such worries (GAP doesn’t exactly play in the same waters as BP, in terms of impact on a population); but as last week shows, this type of threat to the brand and its reputation/likability is real. Companies are under more scrutiny than ever before, and the public has more power (deserved or not) than ever before because of the ready and supremely easy access to media. A movement can start virtually overnight, and with no one holding a customer uprising to accountability, the brand faces a virtual Wild West. Witness the P&G tangle with a diaper change last year: even after P&G offered the olive branch and free diapers, the uproar continued.

As social media grows and more deeply permeates our culture, companies increasingly need to address their larger public-facing decisions from a strategic point of view. Marketers need to anticipate a wide variety of responses, and be prepared to defend what they see as an innovation. In the recent article by Malcolm Gladwell on the true power of social media, he points out that social media may “involve” (our quotes) many people, its actual accomplishment is diminished by its haphazard organization. People will contribute to something if it doesn’t demand a real risk or belief, just for the fun and or phenomenolgical nature of it.

A brand must ensure that its actions are not the next plaything of the mass media.

On the flipside: how much spine should a brand have when these mini-revolts occur? Should the GAP have stuck by its convictions that they actually thought the new logo was a bellwether of change? Perhaps the company would have gained more respect by going forward with their committment. Spot research suggests that many customers weren’t even aware of a proposed (effective?) logo change.

Were the critics even GAP customers? Or are they from a “design elite”? Were they reacting to the company, or the design itself? Why was this customer base so vocal in its criticism? Nobody complained when Holiday Inn changed their logo recently.

At SALT, we tend toward making robust and strategic decisions with our clients that serve their best interests in the long term. Sure, listen to your audience, do some research, but also serve the long-term interests of the organization.  A hiccup is just that, and a “logo blunder” will soon be forgotten if the brand has significantly created value in other areas of the business. Good graphic design won’t save a company if it’s just a cosmetic overhaul (why they chose to re-brand in the first place has yet to be fully disclosed). True branding starts from within the company and often involves making difficult decisions and then exercising the fortitude to see them through execution. Character runs deeper than personality, and that, ultimately, is what a good brand exhibits.

That being said, GAP-watchers have an interesting season or two ahead of them.

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Is your Brand Fluent? – Localized Branding Abroad

Five weeks ago, Levi Strauss, the leader in global jeanswear, launched its newest brand, dENiZEN™, a line of denim dedicated to and sold entirely in China.  The launch of Levi’s first non-US brand marked a major change in the company’s 137-year-old brand strategy, and came on the heels of a similar announcement from the multi-million dollar fashion house Hermes.  In late July, Hermes revealed its newest creation:  Shang Xia, a distinct luxury brand based in Shanghai with products being locally “crafted” as opposed to “flown in.”

The surprising announcements from these two international powerhouses beg the question:  how far should a brand go to gain relevance and (most importantly) market share abroad?

When it comes to “localized” strategy, we’ve seen it all–from food menus adapting  to local tastes and traditions (think McDonald’s McVeggie, McAloo Tiki, and Veg McCurry Pan in India) to stores launching regionally-specific product lines (i.e. Chanel’s recent Chinese-infused Shanghai collection replete with China Doll and Take-Out Box handbags) to partnerships with local celebrities.   But today, a rapidly evolving global economy demands an equally evolved (and mutable) branding model.  Principal markets today are radically different from the principal markets we entered ten years ago, and Western companies can no longer expect to simply “seed” their brands in the same way they did in the past and still see results.

Today, in order to gain not only a foothold but a leg up in developing markets (Brazil, Russia, India, and China among others), Western brands need to do more than just launch a flagship store and buy up ad space and expect that the local population will adopt their brand simply because they’re there. They need to “think” locally, “speak” regionally, and even go outright “native.”

In India, an emerging market with over 1.1 billion people and a wide array of cultures, religions, and value systems, big luxury brands are finding it difficult to gain traction by merely creating large retail footprints and importing their existing campaigns.  As a result, we are seeing big names like Montblanc, Louis Vuitton, and Rolls Royce shifting gears and embracing “localized” marketing.  Today, Montblanc creates region-specific collateral for its Indian partners and consumers, with letterheads, invitations, and newsletters customized according to local language and tailored to local tastes, while LV and Rolls Royce take the time to sponsor events and celebrations attended by potential customers (oftentimes newly affluent Indian consumers).

In China, global brands are taking localization a step further.  Like Levi’s, who is seeking to tap a growing market (18 to 28 year-olds who are not only value conscious but also label-conscious) with dENiZEN ’s low price point, US automobile manufacturers are partnering with local companies to meet China’s growing demands for small, lower-priced vehicles.  Nissan and GM are among a number of brands speaking the “local” language. Both carmakers recently announced new dedicated lines for the Chinese market – SAIC-GM-Wuling turning out the Baojun (the “treasured horse”) and Dongfeng-Nissan, the Qi Chen (the “morning star”) in 2012.

Ultimately, for these multi-million and multi-billion dollar global brands, catering to locals on an entirely new level makes complete sense.  With the very visible flops of Western brands like Google and Yahoo (trumped by Alibaba and Baidu) abroad, it’s become clear that one-size does not fit all when it comes to branding in the global marketplace.  Succeeding in countries with myriad cultures and tastes demands more than a single strategy topped off by a splashy campaign.  Today, global corporations need to reevaluate their entry strategies in order to avoid quick exits.  And, “going native” will likely be MORE THAN critical in this process – allowing brands to maintain brand equity, gain local favor, and protect high margin premium.

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